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New Trade Bloc Formation

ACTIVEUpdated Mar 13, 2026

◆ What's Happening

Trading Day 10 (Mar 13) — gold selloff continues, geopolitical bid exhausted:

**GLD -1.29% ($467→$461):** Third consecutive selloff. Down from $476 (Mar 10) to $461. At $461, GLD is now 9.6% below ATH ($510). The geopolitical gold bid that drove gold higher in the early days of the conflict is clearly exhausted.

**Why gold keeps falling despite escalation:** - PCE core 3.1% (hot) → rate cuts priced out → dollar strengthening → gold-negative - 2Y yield surged 3.8%→4.4% — real yields rising sharply - 10Y at 4.285% — highest since early February - The dollar/yield channel is completely overpowering the geopolitical bid - Three consecutive selloffs (-0.34%, -1.97%, -1.29%) confirm the trend

**TLT -0.49% ($87→$87):** Bonds continuing to sell as PCE confirms inflation fears. TLT at $87 is 7.4% below ATH ($94).

**Treasury authorizing Russian oil:** This is pragmatic trade policy, NOT de-dollarization. The U.S. is prioritizing energy security over sanctions — which actually strengthens the dollar-centric system by showing flexibility.

**Bloc formation update:** Day 14 of conflict consumes all diplomatic bandwidth. Gulf states under direct military attack — strongest long-term motivator for post-war bloc diversification, but no near-term catalysts. BRICS Summit (mid-2026) is the next inflection.

📈 Bull Case

GLD at $461 is 9.6% below ATH — deep value if the geopolitical bid resumes. Oil at $99 will feed into March CPI, eventually reigniting inflation fears that support gold. Dollar strength may be transient if FOMC (Mar 17-18) signals dovish. Gulf states under attack for 14 days is the strongest motivator for post-war de-dollarization.

📉 Bear Case

Three consecutive gold selloffs despite active Hormuz blockade + oil at $99 is definitive — the geopolitical gold bid is exhausted. PCE core 3.1% (hot) means higher-for-longer rates = sustained dollar strength = gold headwind. If FOMC signals 0 cuts, gold faces another leg down. No actual bloc formation progress. Treasury authorizing Russian oil shows the dollar system adapts rather than breaks.

◆ Bloc Alignment

43 stocks across 5 categories. Tap a category to expand.

GMGeneral Motors
$72.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +45 bull+45
-18% ATH+67% bull5x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +50 bull
Mkt Cap $67.5B · PE 5x · 52W Low $42.00
WITWipro Limited
$2.26
New Trade Bloc Formation: +40 bull+40
-62% ATH+99% bull15x PE
AI Workforce Disruption: -45 bear
Mkt Cap $23.7B · PE 15x · 52W Low $2.00
NUENucor Corporation
$163.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +40 bull+40
-17% ATH+41% bull12x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +65 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +40 bullEnergy Grid Supercycle: +35 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $37.4B · PE 12x · 52W Low $98.00
MPMP Materials
$57.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +40 bull+40
-43% ATH+65% bull45x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +85 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +50 bull
Mkt Cap $10.2B · PE 45x · 52W Low $19.00
INTCIntel
$46.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +35 bull+35
-16% ATH+55% bull46x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +80 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +40 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +35 bullUSD & Fed Policy: -25 bear
Mkt Cap $229B · PE 46x · 52W Low $18.00
GFSGlobalFoundries
$42.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +30 bull+30
-24% ATH+55% bull18x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +75 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +30 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $23.3B · PE 18x · 52W Low $30.00
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor
$338.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +30 bull+30
-13% ATH+54% bull19x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +95 bullGeopolitical Instability: -50 bearGlobal Trade Realignment: -30 bear
Mkt Cap $1.8T · PE 19x · 52W Low $134.00
CATCaterpillar
$694.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +30 bull+30
-12% ATH+27% bull25x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +55 bullEnergy Grid Supercycle: +40 bullUSD & Fed Policy: +30 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $325B · PE 25x · 52W Low $267.00
AVGOBroadcom
$322.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +25 bull+25
-22% ATH+65% bull18x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +95 bull
Mkt Cap $1.5T · PE 18x · 52W Low $138.00
ARMArm Holdings
$116.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +25 bull+25
-38% ATH+98% bull54x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +78 bullUSD & Fed Policy: -25 bear
Mkt Cap $123B · PE 54x · 52W Low $80.00
PLTRPalantir
$151.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +25 bull+25
-27% ATH+72% bull82x PE
Geopolitical Instability: +78 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +75 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +62 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +55 bullGlobal Trade Realignment: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $361B · PE 82x · 52W Low $66.00
HONHoneywell International
$235.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +25 bull+25
-5% ATH+28% bull20x PE
Energy Grid Supercycle: +40 bullGlobal Trade Realignment: +35 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $149B · PE 20x · 52W Low $169.00
ACNAccenture plc
$197.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +23 bull+23
-50% ATH+78% bull13x PE
Mkt Cap $122B · PE 13x · 52W Low $189.00
ETNEaton Corporation
$355.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +22 bull+22
-13% ATH+55% bull23x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +75 bullEnergy Grid Supercycle: +75 bull
Mkt Cap $138B · PE 23x · 52W Low $232.00
MUMicron Technology
$426.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +22 bull+22
-7% ATH+23% bull9x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +80 bull
Mkt Cap $480B · PE 9x · 52W Low $62.00
EQIXEquinix
$970.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +22 bull+22
-2% ATH+19% bull55x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +80 bullUSD & Fed Policy: -30 bearEnergy Grid Supercycle: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $95.3B · PE 55x · 52W Low $701.00
MRVLMarvell Technology
$88.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-28% ATH+82% bull16x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +82 bull
Mkt Cap $76.7B · PE 16x · 52W Low $47.00
FSLRFirst Solar
$196.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-31% ATH+63% bull8x PE
Energy Grid Supercycle: +80 bullGlobal Trade Realignment: +55 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +40 bull
Mkt Cap $21B · PE 8x · 52W Low $117.00
APHAmphenol
$134.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-20% ATH+57% bull26x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +68 bull
Mkt Cap $165B · PE 26x · 52W Low $56.00
NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$180.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-15% ATH+56% bull17x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +98 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +30 bullGlobal Trade Realignment: -25 bear
Mkt Cap $4.4T · PE 17x · 52W Low $87.00
DLRDigital Realty Trust
$180.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-3% ATH+22% bull53x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +75 bullUSD & Fed Policy: -35 bearEnergy Grid Supercycle: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $62.8B · PE 53x · 52W Low $130.00
NBISNebius Group
$113.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-20% ATH+33% bullN/A PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +85 bullUSD & Fed Policy: -25 bearAI Workforce Disruption: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $28.6B · PE N/A · 52W Low $18.00
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices
$193.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +18 bull+18
-28% ATH+55% bull18x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +88 bull
Mkt Cap $315B · PE 18x · 52W Low $76.00
CSCOCisco Systems
$78.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +18 bull+18
-11% ATH+28% bull17x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +58 bull
Mkt Cap $309B · PE 17x · 52W Low $52.00
GOOGLAlphabet
$302.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +18 bull+18
-13% ATH+42% bull23x PE
Quantum Computing Breakout: +75 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +72 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +55 bullUSD & Fed Policy: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $3.7T · PE 23x · 52W Low $141.00
ENPHEnphase Energy
$44.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-38% ATH+82% bull16x PE
Energy Grid Supercycle: +55 bullUSD & Fed Policy: -25 bearUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $5.8B · PE 16x · 52W Low $26.00
TTMITTM Technologies
$91.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-19% ATH+48% bull20x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +72 bull
Mkt Cap $9.4B · PE 20x · 52W Low $16.00
INODInnodata
$43.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-54% ATH+63% bull24x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +50 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +50 bull
Mkt Cap $1.4B · PE 24x · 52W Low $26.00
EMREmerson Electric
$132.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-20% ATH+36% bull18x PE
Energy Grid Supercycle: +50 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $74.4B · PE 18x · 52W Low $90.00
ANETArista Networks
$134.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-19% ATH+37% bull31x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +82 bull
Mkt Cap $168B · PE 31x · 52W Low $59.00
AEISAdvanced Energy
$302.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-14% ATH+32% bull29x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +72 bullEnergy Grid Supercycle: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $11.4B · PE 29x · 52W Low $75.00
RTXRTX Corporation
$205.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-5% ATH+27% bull27x PE
Geopolitical Instability: +92 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +75 bullGlobal Trade Realignment: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $275B · PE 27x · 52W Low $112.00
VRTVertiv Holdings
$259.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-6% ATH+24% bull32x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +90 bullEnergy Grid Supercycle: +35 bull
Mkt Cap $99B · PE 32x · 52W Low $54.00
GEVGE Vernova
$805.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +15 bull+15
-10% ATH+37% bull35x PE
Energy Grid Supercycle: +95 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +35 bull
Mkt Cap $218B · PE 35x · 52W Low $252.00
FLEXFlex Ltd
$63.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +50 bull+50
-12% ATH+43% bull17x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +55 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $23.5B · PE 17x · 52W Low $25.00
TXNTexas Instruments
$191.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +25 bull+25
-17% ATH+44% bull24x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +65 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +45 bull
Mkt Cap $174B · PE 24x · 52W Low $140.00
GLWCorning
$129.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-20% ATH+33% bull33x PE
AI Infrastructure Boom: +78 bull
Mkt Cap $111B · PE 33x · 52W Low $37.00
UPWKUpwork Inc.
$12.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +18 bull+18
-81% ATH+125% bull7x PE
AI Workforce Disruption: -30 bear
Mkt Cap $1.6B · PE 7x · 52W Low $11.00
PLDPrologis
$132.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +40 bull+40
-8% ATH+19% bull39x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +50 bull
Mkt Cap $122B · PE 39x · 52W Low $85.00
ROKRockwell Automation
$361.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +45 bull+45
-18% ATH+39% bull26x PE
Global Trade Realignment: +60 bullAI Infrastructure Boom: +35 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $40.6B · PE 26x · 52W Low $215.00
GLDSPDR Gold Trust
$461.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +32 bull+32
-10% ATH+27% bullN/A PE
Geopolitical Instability: +95 bullUSD & Fed Policy: +60 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +55 bull
Mkt Cap ETF · PE N/A · 52W Low $273.00
NEMNewmont Corporation
$110.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-19% ATH+59% bull10x PE
US Debt & Spending Crisis: +75 bullUSD & Fed Policy: +70 bullGeopolitical Instability: +35 bull
Mkt Cap $120B · PE 10x · 52W Low $43.00
XOMExxon Mobil
$156.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: +20 bull+20
-2% ATH+19% bull18x PE
Geopolitical Instability: +85 bullUSD & Fed Policy: +35 bull
Mkt Cap $651B · PE 18x · 52W Low $98.00

🛡️ At Risk — negative exposure to this event

QCOMQualcomm
$130.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -35 bear-35
-38% ATH+69% bull12x PE
Global Trade Realignment: -55 bearAI Infrastructure Boom: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $139B · PE 12x · 52W Low $121.00
AAPLApple
$250.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -30 bear-30
-13% ATH+40% bull27x PE
Global Trade Realignment: -70 bearAI Infrastructure Boom: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $3.7T · PE 27x · 52W Low $169.00
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
$87.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -25 bear-25
-7% ATH+25% bullN/A PE
USD & Fed Policy: +85 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: -30 bear
Mkt Cap ETF · PE N/A · 52W Low $83.00
TSLATesla
$391.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -25 bear-25
-22% ATH+53% bull139x PE
Global Trade Realignment: -65 bearUSD & Fed Policy: -30 bearEnergy Grid Supercycle: +30 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +30 bull
Mkt Cap $1.5T · PE 139x · 52W Low $214.00
NKENike
$54.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -20 bear-20
-46% ATH+85% bull23x PE
Global Trade Realignment: -55 bear
Mkt Cap $79.9B · PE 23x · 52W Low $52.00
JPMJPMorgan Chase
$283.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -20 bear-20
-16% ATH+41% bull12x PE
USD & Fed Policy: +85 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +35 bull
Mkt Cap $764B · PE 12x · 52W Low $202.00
GSGoldman Sachs
$782.00
New Trade Bloc Formation: -18 bear-18
-21% ATH+41% bull12x PE
USD & Fed Policy: +80 bullUS Debt & Spending Crisis: +25 bullAI Workforce Disruption: +25 bull
Mkt Cap $235B · PE 12x · 52W Low $439.00

◆ Catalyst Calendar

HIGHMar 13RESOLVED: GLD -1.29% (3rd straight selloff). PCE core 3.1% (hot). 2Y yield 4.4%. Geopolitical gold bid exhausted.
HIGHMar 12RESOLVED: GLD -1.97% DESPITE oil $96 + Hormuz escalation. Dollar/yield headwind.
HIGHMar 17-18FOMC — rate path determines gold trajectory. Dovish = gold rallies, hawkish = continued selloff.
HIGHMid-2026BRICS 2026 Summit (India presidency) — BRICS Pay expansion, post-Iran acceleration
HIGH2026CPTPP Commission meeting — Costa Rica accession, EU link-up discussions
HIGHNov 10US-China tariff truce expiration — geopolitical dynamics shifted post-Iran

💡 Cross-Event Note

Gold selling off for 3 consecutive days while oil rises ($93→$96→$99) confirms the dollar/yield channel (usd_fed) completely dominates the geopolitical channel (iran_conflict) for gold. PCE hot 3.1% → 2Y yield 4.4% → dollar strong → gold weak. FOMC (Mar 17-18) is the inflection: dovish = gold rallies on dollar weakness, hawkish = gold continues lower toward $450.