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AVGOYahoo Finance ↗BroadcomSemiconductor

~$331PE: 23xMCap: $1.6T-20% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026

COMPOSITE

+60%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

78%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For AVGO: (95 × 85% + -5 × 60% + 15 × 35% + 15 × 55% + 5 × 0% + 10 × 0% + 0 × 0%) × 60/100 = 55. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For AVGO: ($530 − $331) / $331 = +60%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-20%), upside to bull PT (+60%), forward PE (23x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 60. Good entry — reasonable discount with solid upside.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.High conviction — strong catalysts and clear thesis.

$138~$331$415$530

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Broadcom is the undisputed custom silicon king for hyperscalers. The OpenAI deal expected in H2 2026 adds a third major ASIC customer alongside Google and Meta. At 17% below ATH ($415), Wells Fargo upgraded to Overweight ($430), Mizuho raised PT to $480, Truist to $510. VMware integration adds a high-margin recurring software revenue stream. Cisco launching competing Silicon One chip signals the AI networking opportunity is massive — but AVGO has the ASIC moat.

⚠️ Key Risk

If hyperscalers go fully in-house with custom silicon, the custom ASIC moat narrows. VMware integration still ongoing and could face enterprise customer pushback on pricing. Cisco launching competing AI networking silicon. RBC initiated at only Sector Perform ($370) — not all analysts see upside from here.