ℹ️ How are these calculated?
🎯 Investment Thesis
Booz Allen is the best entry in our universe on a value basis — at $78, down 40% from ATH ($131) and near 52-week low ($77). At 12x forward PE for a company earning ~$1B net income on $12B revenue, the DOGE selloff is overdone. Government AI and cyber spending is structural — you can't DOGE away cybersecurity. Stifel Hold $115 and Citi Neutral $109 both imply 40%+ upside. Revenue grew 14% YoY despite DOGE headlines.
⚠️ Key Risk
Near 52-week LOW — that's rare in a bull market and signals real concern. DOGE targeting government consulting is existential risk for BAH. No analyst currently rates Buy — all Hold/Neutral. If DOGE cuts materialize in FY2027 budgets, revenue could decline. Short interest likely elevated. Jefferies lowered to $95 — cautious even at these levels.
By The Numbers
Event Impact
AI solutions for government — purpose-built AI for defense and intelligence agencies. Growing commercial AI practice.
Core defense/intelligence contractor. Benefits from military operations that require analytics and technology support.
Quantum computing research for government/intelligence applications.
China threat drives government spending on cybersecurity and intelligence technology.
Government contracts provide revenue stability regardless of rate environment. At 12x PE, minimal rate sensitivity. Not capital-intensive.
Government energy infrastructure consulting. Minor.
THE government IT stock. 97% revenue from US government. DOGE is the existential risk — government consulting is a direct target of efficiency cuts. But AI/cyber demand is structural. Down 40% from ATH is pricing in significant DOGE impact.
Price Targets
Upcoming Catalysts
Competitive Landscape
Company Background
Founded 1914 by Edwin Booz. The original management consulting firm. Now focused almost entirely on US government technology — defense AI, cybersecurity, intelligence analytics. The DOGE selloff is the deepest discount this franchise has seen since COVID.