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BXYahoo Finance ↗BlackstoneAsset Management
~$130PE: 16xMCap: $159.6B-32% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 12, 2026
10
COMPOSITE
+54%
BULL UPSIDE
57
ENTRY QUALITY
60%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For BX: (20 × 85% + 5 × 60% + 0 × 35% + -5 × 55% + 60 × 0% + 10 × 0% + 15 × 0%) × 57/100 = 10. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For BX: ($200 − $130) / $130 = +54%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-32%), upside to bull PT (+54%), forward PE (16x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 57. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.
$116~$130$190$200
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Blackstone is the world's largest alternative asset manager with $1T+ AUM — and the largest private DC investor through QTS Realty ($70B+ DC portfolio). At 16x forward PE and 32% below ATH ($190), this is the cheapest it's been relative to its growth. TD Cowen Buy $183, Citizens Outperform $195. When rates come down, BX re-rates — lower rates = higher real estate values, more deal flow, more performance fees. 3.6% dividend yield while you wait.

⚠️ Key Risk

Fell 2.8% today. At $130, down 32% from ATH — the market is concerned about "higher for longer." JP Morgan lowered PT to $158, Piper Sandler to $158, Barclays to $164 — all lowering. Performance fees are lumpy and unpredictable. If commercial real estate deteriorates further, BX portfolio values compress. Private credit competition intensifying.

By The Numbers

Price
$130
ATH
$190
52W Low
$116
Fwd PE
16x
Market Cap
$159.6B
Revenue
$7.2B
Rev Growth
+8% YoY
Gross Margin
N/A
Op Margin
55%
FCF
$5B
Cash
$5B
Debt
$10B

Event Impact

Price Targets

Current
$130
Bear PT
$100
Consensus
$170
Bull PT
$200

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHQ1 2026Q4 2025 earnings — AUM growth, fundraising, performance fees
HIGHH2 2026Expected Fed rate cuts — catalyst for real estate and deal activity

Competitive Landscape

Smaller AUM, more infrastructure focused

APOApollo Global

More credit/insurance focused, less real estate

Company Background

Founded 1985 by Steve Schwarzman and Pete Peterson. Grew from a leveraged buyout shop into the world's largest alternative asset manager. QTS Realty acquisition ($10B in 2021) positioned BX as the biggest private DC owner.