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CRWVYahoo Finance ↗CoreWeaveGPU Cloud

~$96PE: N/AMCap: $49.9B-49% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026

COMPOSITE

+161%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

48%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For CRWV: (88 × 85% + 0 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 5 × 55% + -30 × 0% + 10 × 0% + 0 × 0%) × 59/100 = 46. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For CRWV: ($251 − $96) / $96 = +161%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-49%), upside to bull PT (+161%), forward PE (N/A vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 59. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Lower conviction — speculative or thesis depends on uncertain catalysts.

$34~$96$187$251

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

CoreWeave is the purest bet on enterprise AI compute demand. NVIDIA invested $2B at $87.20 — insider validation from the GPU maker itself. Revenue exploded +737% in FY2024 with a $55.6B backlog. Launched ARENA platform for production AI workload benchmarking, signaling platform stickiness beyond raw compute. Deutsche Bank upgraded to Buy ($140), DA Davidson upgraded to Buy ($110). At 49% below ATH ($187), the entry remains attractive despite the risk. Q4 earnings Feb 26.

⚠️ Key Risk

HIGHEST RISK in the AI universe. Net loss of -$938M. Microsoft was 62% of revenue — extreme concentration. Class action lawsuits pending. No path to profitability yet. Forward PE deeply negative (-431x). Mizuho and Macquarie only Neutral at $100-115. If hyperscalers cut back GPU leasing, the backlog evaporates.

By The Numbers

Price

$96

ATH

$187

52W Low

$34

Fwd PE

N/A

Market Cap

$49.9B

Revenue

$2.8B

Rev Growth

+737% YoY

Gross Margin

58%

Op Margin

-33%

FCF

-$6.2B

Cash

$1.8B

Debt

$12.9B

Event Impact

🤖

AI Infrastructure Boom

Pure-play GPU cloud. NVIDIA invested $2B at $87.20. $55.6B backlog. Revenue +737% FY2024.

+88 ⚔️

Iran Geopolitical Crisis

No exposure to energy or defense.

0 ⚛️

Quantum Computing Breakout

No quantum relevance.

0 🇨🇳

China Trade War Escalation

US-based infrastructure. Negligible China exposure.

+5 💵

USD & Fed Policy

$12.9B debt, deeply unprofitable. Highest rate sensitivity in AI universe. Higher rates crush ability to finance GPU fleet expansion.

-30 ⚡

Energy Grid Supercycle

GPU cloud facilities are massive power consumers. Grid constraints limit where CoreWeave can build.

+10 🏛️

US Fiscal & DOGE

No significant fiscal exposure.

Price Targets

Current

$96

Bear PT

$40

Consensus

$126

Bull PT

$251

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHFeb 26Q4 earnings — revenue trajectory + customer diversification

HIGHH1 2026New hyperscaler contracts expected beyond MSFT

Competitive Landscape

Lambda Labs

Smaller GPU cloud competitor

AMZN/MSFT/GOOGLAWS/Azure/GCP

Hyperscalers dominate but CoreWeave is specialized

Company Background

Founded 2017 as Ethereum miner. Pivoted to GPU cloud when AI demand exploded. IPO March 2025 priced at $40, soared to $187, then crashed. NVIDIA partnership is the anchor.