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EMRYahoo Finance ↗Emerson ElectricIndustrial Automation
~$145PE: 20xMCap: $81.5B-12% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 12, 2026
8
COMPOSITE
+24%
BULL UPSIDE
43
ENTRY QUALITY
52%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For EMR: (15 × 85% + 5 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 5 × 55% + 10 × 0% + 50 × 0% + 5 × 0%) × 43/100 = 8. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For EMR: ($180 − $145) / $145 = +24%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-12%), upside to bull PT (+24%), forward PE (20x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 43. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.
$90~$145$165$180
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Emerson is pivoting from a diversified industrial to a pure-play automation company after selling non-core businesses. Aspen Technology acquisition adds AI-powered grid optimization. At 20x PE and 12% below ATH ($165), reasonable value for an industrial automation leader. ~55% international revenue benefits from weaker dollar. Fell 6.3% today — creating a better entry.

⚠️ Key Risk

Stock fell 6.3% today — significant one-day decline signals near-term headwinds. At 20x PE, not cheap for an industrial company in transition. Aspen Technology integration still in progress. Short-cycle industrial demand could soften. Less pure-play on energy grid than GEV or PWR. Competition from Honeywell, ABB, Siemens.

By The Numbers

Price
$145
ATH
$165
52W Low
$90
Fwd PE
20x
Market Cap
$81.5B
Revenue
$18B
Rev Growth
+12% YoY
Gross Margin
52%
Op Margin
20%
FCF
$3.5B
Cash
$2B
Debt
$8B

Event Impact

🤖
AI Infrastructure Boom

Industrial automation and control systems used in data center cooling and power management. Aspen Technology acquisition adds AI/software.

+15⚔️
Iran Geopolitical Crisis

Process automation for energy infrastructure.

+5⚛️
Quantum Computing Breakout

No quantum relevance.

0🇨🇳
China Trade War Escalation

Some reshoring benefit for US industrial automation.

+5💵
USD & Fed Policy

~55% international revenue benefits from weaker dollar. At 20x PE, moderate sensitivity. Industrial automation spending is structural.

+10⚡
Energy Grid Supercycle

Control systems, valves, and measurement for power generation, transmission, and distribution. Grid modernization requires automation at every level. Aspen Technology adds grid optimization software.

+50🏛️
US Fiscal & DOGE

Indirect fiscal exposure through infrastructure spending on power plants and grid modernization. Minor government contracts.

+5

Price Targets

Current
$145
Bear PT
$110
Consensus
$167
Bull PT
$180

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHFeb 2026Q1 2026 earnings — automation orders and margin trajectory
MEDIUM2026Aspen Technology integration milestones + grid software wins

Competitive Landscape

HON ↗Honeywell

Diversified industrial, more building automation

ABB ↗ABB

European peer, more power and robotics

Company Background

Founded 1890 in St. Louis. Transformed from a conglomerate making everything from tools to appliances into a focused industrial automation company. The Aspen Technology deal (2024) was the capstone of the strategic pivot.