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GEVYahoo Finance ↗GE VernovaEnergy Grid
~$817PE: 36xMCap: $221.5B-3% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 12, 2026
14
COMPOSITE
+35%
BULL UPSIDE
32
ENTRY QUALITY
70%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For GEV: (35 × 85% + 15 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 10 × 55% + 15 × 0% + 95 × 0% + 15 × 0%) × 32/100 = 14. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For GEV: ($1100 − $817) / $817 = +35%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-3%), upside to bull PT (+35%), forward PE (36x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 32. Poor entry — near ATH or very expensive valuation.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.High conviction — strong catalysts and clear thesis.
$252~$817$846$1100
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

GE Vernova is the most direct play on the US energy grid supercycle. 80 GW gas turbine backlog stretching to 2029, Power segment revenue $38B with $4.9B net income. Goldman Sachs Buy $925, Evercore Outperform $905, RBC Outperform $800 — all raised PTs post-Q4 beat. Near ATH at 3% below ($846). Spun off from GE in April 2024 and up 224% since. Grid Strategies projects 128 GW of new load growth — GEV supplies the turbines, grid solutions, and electrification equipment.

⚠️ Key Risk

At 36x forward PE, priced for perfection. Wind segment still losing money — drag on margins. Citi Neutral $779 is the cautious voice. Near ATH with limited margin of safety. If gas prices spike, turbine economics shift. Nuclear services small vs gas. Competition from Siemens Energy and Mitsubishi.

By The Numbers

Price
$817
ATH
$846
52W Low
$252
Fwd PE
36x
Market Cap
$221.5B
Revenue
$38B
Rev Growth
+12% YoY
Gross Margin
20%
Op Margin
10%
FCF
$4.5B
Cash
$8B
Debt
$4B

Event Impact

🤖
AI Infrastructure Boom

Gas turbines power data centers. 80 GW backlog stretching to 2029 driven partly by AI DC demand.

+35⚔️
Iran Geopolitical Crisis

Energy infrastructure benefits from energy security concerns. Gas turbines are domestic power.

+15⚛️
Quantum Computing Breakout

No quantum relevance.

0🇨🇳
China Trade War Escalation

US-based manufacturing. Grid modernization is a domestic priority.

+10💵
USD & Fed Policy

~60% international revenue benefits from weaker dollar. At 36x PE, moderate rate sensitivity. Grid infrastructure spending is structural, not rate-driven.

+15⚡
Energy Grid Supercycle

THE energy grid stock. 80 GW gas turbine backlog to 2029. Power, Wind, and Electrification segments cover entire grid. Mentioned in our energy_grid event narrative as the anchor company.

+95🏛️
US Fiscal & DOGE

Benefits from IRA/OBBBA energy spending. Nuclear services segment tied to government policy. Grid modernization has bipartisan support.

+15

Price Targets

Current
$817
Bear PT
$500
Consensus
$833
Bull PT
$1100

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHQ1 2026Q4 2025 earnings — 80 GW backlog update, Wind segment profitability
HIGH2026-2029Gas turbine deliveries from record backlog

Competitive Landscape

SMNEY ↗Siemens Energy

European competitor, smaller US presence

ETN ↗Eaton Corporation

Electrical distribution, complementary not competing

Company Background

Spun off from General Electric in April 2024. Carries GE's century-old power equipment legacy but operates as a pure-play energy company. CEO Scott Strazik has rapidly focused the business on grid modernization.