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GFSYahoo Finance ↗GlobalFoundriesSemiconductor

~$49PE: 20xMCap: $27.2B-11% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026

COMPOSITE

+33%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

58%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For GFS: (30 × 85% + 0 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 75 × 55% + -10 × 0% + 5 × 0% + 30 × 0%) × 51/100 = 34. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For GFS: ($65 − $49) / $49 = +33%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-11%), upside to bull PT (+33%), forward PE (20x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 51. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.

$30~$49$55$65

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Q4 2025 earnings beat (Feb 11) — results came in at or above high end of guidance on revenue, gross margin, and EPS. Mix improvements and cost discipline driving margin expansion. Comms infrastructure and data center segments strong. At 21x PE with fabs in US, Germany, Singapore — the geopolitical hedge thesis is intact and strengthening as results prove the business model.

⚠️ Key Risk

Analyst sentiment still lukewarm despite the beat — Citi Neutral $42, Wedbush downgraded to Neutral $40, BofA Underperform $37. Smart mobile devices revenue declined. Chinese foundry competition on mature nodes increasing. Near 52-week high ($48.88) — limited margin of safety if recovery stalls.