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GOOGLYahoo Finance ↗AlphabetTech/Quantum

~$309PE: 23xMCap: $3.7T-11% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026

COMPOSITE

+39%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

72%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For GOOGL: (72 × 85% + 0 × 60% + 75 × 35% + -15 × 55% + 25 × 0% + 15 × 0% + -10 × 0%) × 59/100 = 47. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For GOOGL: ($430 − $309) / $309 = +39%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-11%), upside to bull PT (+39%), forward PE (23x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 59. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.High conviction — strong catalysts and clear thesis.

$141~$309$349$430

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Post-Q4 earnings rally driven by massive analyst PT raises: JP Morgan $395, Stifel $395, Citi $390, Argus $385 (all raised Feb 5-6). Project Genie AI gaming platform expanding use cases beyond search. Willow quantum chip maintains 13,000x speed advantage. At 23x PE for 15%+ revenue growth, valuation still reasonable relative to megacap AI peers.

⚠️ Key Risk

11% below ATH ($349) — not cheap. DA Davidson Neutral $310 (essentially at current price) is the cautious voice. DOJ antitrust remedy still a headwind. AI search disruption narrative persists. Quantum is <0.1% of business — headline risk but not revenue risk.