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MODYahoo Finance ↗Modine ManufacturingDC Cooling
~$215PE: 29xMCap: $11.4B-9% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026
28
COMPOSITE
+23%
BULL UPSIDE
42
ENTRY QUALITY
62%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For MOD: (75 × 85% + 0 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 5 × 55% + -10 × 0% + 15 × 0% + 0 × 0%) × 42/100 = 28. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For MOD: ($265 − $215) / $215 = +23%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-9%), upside to bull PT (+23%), forward PE (29x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 42. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.
$65~$215$235$265
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

AI data center cooling thesis validated — FQ3 2026 beat with DA Davidson calling it "exceptional AI data center momentum" and raising PT to $265. DC revenue still surging with expanding funnel and win rates. Auto business spinoff remains a value-unlock catalyst. At $11.6B mcap vs Vertiv's $90.6B, still a fraction of the DC leader while growing faster. At 30x PE, no longer the cheapest cooling play, but earnings acceleration could compress the multiple.

⚠️ Key Risk

At 30x PE (trailing PE 120x), priced for perfection. Legacy auto business dragging margins until spinoff completes — timing still uncertain. Less diversified product line than Vertiv. Stock has rallied 240%+ from 52W low ($65→$220) — limited margin of safety. Only 7% below ATH. Thin analyst coverage (DA Davidson and Oppenheimer only).

By The Numbers

Price
$215
ATH
$235
52W Low
$65
Fwd PE
29x
Market Cap
$11.4B
Revenue
$2.6B
Rev Growth
+12% YoY
Gross Margin
28.5%
Op Margin
14.2%
FCF
$220M
Cash
$120M
Debt
$580M

Event Impact

Price Targets

Current
$215
Bear PT
$90
Consensus
$249
Bull PT
$265

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHFeb 2026FQ3 beat — DC momentum confirmed, DA Davidson PT $265
HIGHMay 2026FQ4 earnings — DC cooling growth continuation
HIGH2026Auto business spinoff completion

Competitive Landscape

VRTVertiv Holdings

Much larger ($90.6B MCap) but slower DC growth

NVTnVent Electric

Liquid cooling competitor, similar size

Company Background

Founded 1916 in Racine, Wisconsin as an automotive parts maker. Pivoted aggressively into data center cooling in 2022-2023. The transformation story is the appeal.