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MRVLYahoo Finance ↗Marvell TechnologyCustom Silicon

~$88PE: 16xMCap: $76.7B-28% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Mar 13, 2026· Analysis as of Mar 13, 2026⚠️ Analysis may reference outdated prices

COMPOSITE

+82%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

72%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For MRVL: (82 × 88% + 5 × 92% + 5 × 40% + -10 × 70% + 20 × 50% + 5 × 72% + 0 × 80% + 0 × 52% + 15 × 70%) × 75/100 = 72. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For MRVL: ($160 − $88) / $88 = +82%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-28%), upside to bull PT (+82%), forward PE (16x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 75. Good entry — reasonable discount with solid upside.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.High conviction — strong catalysts and clear thesis.

$47~$88$122$160

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

MRVL +18.4% ($76→$90) day-after Q4 earnings breakout — the largest single-stock move in mPulse since inception. Data center revenue $1.65B (record), custom AI ASIC at $1.5B annual run rate with 5 programs in production. At 17x forward PE and 26% below ATH ($122), the risk/reward remains attractive even after the surge. Custom silicon for Amazon, Google, and Microsoft is a structural growth vector that rivals AVGO.

⚠️ Key Risk

After +18.4% in a single day, near-term pullback risk is elevated. Oil at $91 raises data center energy costs. Storage and carrier business declines could resurface in Q1. Broadcom has stronger customer relationships and scale. Macro deterioration (BLS -92K, VIX 29.49) creates headline risk for growth names despite AI demand resilience.