mPulse

← Back

MRVLYahoo Finance ↗Marvell TechnologyCustom Silicon

~$78PE: 22xMCap: $66.3B-36% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026

COMPOSITE

+105%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

58%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For MRVL: (82 × 85% + 0 × 60% + 5 × 35% + -10 × 55% + 5 × 0% + 0 × 0% + 0 × 0%) × 84/100 = 55. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For MRVL: ($160 − $78) / $78 = +105%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-36%), upside to bull PT (+105%), forward PE (22x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 84. Excellent entry — significantly below ATH with strong upside.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.

$47~$78$122$160

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Marvell is the #2 custom ASIC player behind Broadcom with more concentrated AI exposure — custom silicon and data center networking comprise the majority of revenue. 3nm custom silicon ramping with Amazon and Google. At 23x forward PE and 33% below ATH ($112), the risk/reward has improved materially from last year. Revenue growing 26% YoY with AI ASIC wins accelerating. Four of 5 major analysts maintain Buy ratings despite recent PT cuts to the $113-118 range.

⚠️ Key Risk

Stock has declined 27% over the past year — market skepticism persists despite AI narrative. Broadcom has stronger and more diversified customer relationships. Storage and carrier businesses declining, partially masking AI growth. Custom ASIC revenue can be lumpy as large projects ramp. Recent analyst PT cuts ($120→$113-118) suggest near-term caution on execution.