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NBISYahoo Finance ↗Nebius GroupAI Cloud Infrastructure
~$90PE: 77xMCap: $22.6B-36% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026
35
COMPOSITE
+67%
BULL UPSIDE
51
ENTRY QUALITY
42%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For NBIS: (85 × 85% + -5 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 0 × 55% + -25 × 0% + 10 × 0% + 0 × 0%) × 51/100 = 35. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For NBIS: ($150 − $90) / $90 = +67%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-36%), upside to bull PT (+67%), forward PE (77x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 51. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Lower conviction — speculative or thesis depends on uncertain catalysts.
$18~$90$141$150
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Nebius is CoreWeave's most direct competitor — full-stack AI GPU cloud infrastructure. Just acquired Tavily ($275M) to add agentic AI search to its platform, signaling expansion from pure infrastructure to software stack. Morgan Stanley initiated at Equal-Weight ($126), Citizens Market Outperform ($175), Northland PT $211. At 37% below ATH ($141) with earnings Feb 18 as the next catalyst. The Tavily acquisition differentiates vs CRWV by adding application-layer value.

⚠️ Key Risk

Not profitable — forward PE deeply negative (-45x). Revenue is tiny (~$500-550M guidance). Former Yandex assets create Russia sanctions overhang. Tavily acquisition ($275M) adds burn rate. Morgan Stanley only Equal-Weight — not all analysts are believers. Earnings Feb 18 is binary risk. Highly speculative — most of the value is in future contracts, not current operations.

By The Numbers

Price
$90
ATH
$141
52W Low
$18
Fwd PE
77x
Market Cap
$22.6B
Revenue
$500M
Rev Growth
+150% YoY (est)
Gross Margin
45%
Op Margin
-40%
FCF
-$3B
Cash
$2.5B
Debt
$800M

Event Impact

Price Targets

Current
$90
Bear PT
$40
Consensus
$145
Bull PT
$150

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHFeb 18Q4/FY2025 earnings — ARR trajectory + new contracts
HIGH2026$7-9B ARR target within 12-18 months

Competitive Landscape

CRWVCoreWeave

Most direct competitor — both GPU cloud plays

Lambda Labs

Smaller GPU cloud, less capitalized

Company Background

Formerly Yandex N.V. — Russia's Google. Restructured and divested Russian assets in 2024. Reborn as Nebius, an AI infrastructure company built on Yandex's world-class engineering talent.