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OKLOYahoo Finance ↗Oklo IncNuclear

~$64PE: N/AMCap: $10B-67% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 12, 2026

COMPOSITE

+88%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

25%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For OKLO: (15 × 85% + 5 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 5 × 55% + -20 × 0% + 65 × 0% + 20 × 0%) × 35/100 = 6. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For OKLO: ($120 − $64) / $64 = +88%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-67%), upside to bull PT (+88%), forward PE (N/A vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 35. Poor entry — near ATH or very expensive valuation.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Lower conviction — speculative or thesis depends on uncertain catalysts.

$17~$64$194$120

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Oklo is the advanced nuclear bet — compact fission reactors that recycle nuclear waste into fuel. Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO) is chairman, connecting AI and nuclear narratives. Down 67% from ATH ($194) but up 276% from 52W low ($17). At $10B mcap with no revenue, this is pure narrative and technology optionality. The newcleo fuel fabrication JV adds credibility.

⚠️ Key Risk

PRE-REVENUE. No operating reactors. NRC license application was rejected in 2022 — resubmission pending. At $10B mcap with zero revenue, valuation is entirely speculative. Fell 3.5% today. Sam Altman association is a double-edged sword (hype vs substance). Technology risk is real — advanced fission is unproven at commercial scale.

By The Numbers

Price

$64

ATH

$194

52W Low

$17

Fwd PE

N/A

Market Cap

$10B

Revenue

<$1M

Rev Growth

Pre-revenue

Gross Margin

N/A

Op Margin

N/A

FCF

-$100M

Cash

$400M

Debt

Minimal

Event Impact

🤖

AI Infrastructure Boom

Advanced fission could power future AI data centers. Sam Altman connection to AI + nuclear is the narrative.

+15 ⚔️

Iran Geopolitical Crisis

Nuclear energy reduces fossil fuel dependence.

+5 ⚛️

Quantum Computing Breakout

No quantum relevance.

0 🇨🇳

China Trade War Escalation

US nuclear technology. Energy independence.

+5 💵

USD & Fed Policy

Pre-revenue company. Higher rates crush speculative valuations. Cash burn requires continued capital market access.

-20 ⚡

Energy Grid Supercycle

Advanced fission power plants using recycled nuclear fuel. DOE fuel access agreement. Joint agreement with newcleo for fuel fabrication. Technology is promising but years from commercial deployment.

+65 🏛️

US Fiscal & DOGE

DOE partnerships and fuel access agreements. Nuclear PTC preserved in OBBBA. Government support for advanced nuclear is strong bipartisan.

+20

Price Targets

Current

$64

Bear PT

$25

Consensus

$116

Bull PT

$120

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGH2026NRC combined license application resubmission

HIGH2026-2027DOE fuel access — securing recycled fuel supply

Competitive Landscape

SMR ↗NuScale Power

NRC-approved SMR, further along in commercialization

Kairos Power

Molten salt reactor, Google-backed

Company Background

Founded 2013 in Santa Clara. Sam Altman became chairman pre-IPO (SPAC 2024). Vision: compact nuclear power plants that run on recycled nuclear waste. The name comes from Oklo, Gabon — site of a natural nuclear reactor that operated 2 billion years ago.