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PLTRYahoo Finance ↗PalantirAI/Defense
~$129PE: 71xMCap: $307.6B-38% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026
70
COMPOSITE
+102%
BULL UPSIDE
66
ENTRY QUALITY
50%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For PLTR: (62 × 85% + 60 × 60% + 10 × 35% + 25 × 55% + 10 × 0% + 0 × 0% + 55 × 0%) × 66/100 = 70. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For PLTR: ($260 − $129) / $129 = +102%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-38%), upside to bull PT (+102%), forward PE (71x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 66. Good entry — reasonable discount with solid upside.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.
$66~$129$208$260
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Beat earnings but stock slipped — classic "buy the rumor, sell the news." Citi upgraded to Buy $260 (from Neutral), Phillip Securities Buy $208. Zacks calls it "the AI defense stock Wall Street can't stop buying." Government contracts turning into "cash machine" with $4.6B cash and zero debt. 35% below ATH ($208→$134) creates entry vs prior ATH premium.

⚠️ Key Risk

Even after pullback, 74x forward PE is the most expensive stock in our universe. UBS Neutral $180 and DA Davidson Neutral $180 both lowered PTs — caution growing. Insider selling consistent. Revenue only $2.9B for a $320B company — needs continued hyper-growth. If AI hype cools, PLTR sells off hardest.

By The Numbers

Price
$129
ATH
$208
52W Low
$66
Fwd PE
71x
Market Cap
$307.6B
Revenue
$2.9B
Rev Growth
+30% YoY
Gross Margin
81.2%
Op Margin
16.8%
FCF
$1.1B
Cash
$4.6B
Debt
Zero debt

Event Impact

🤖
AI Infrastructure Boom

AIP platform leading enterprise AI deployment. Software not infra.

+62⚔️
Iran Geopolitical Crisis

Core defense intelligence platform. Benefits from military ops.

+60⚛️
Quantum Computing Breakout

Government quantum intelligence contracts — speculative.

+10🇨🇳
China Trade War Escalation

Defense + intelligence contracts benefit from China threat.

+25💵
USD & Fed Policy

Zero debt, $4.6B cash. Rate changes minimal direct impact. Weaker dollar mild positive for international expansion.

+10⚡
Energy Grid Supercycle

No energy grid relevance.

0🏛️
US Fiscal & DOGE

Government contracts are core revenue. DOGE risk on consulting, but Palantir is a platform not a body shop. "Trump Accounts" transparency mandate could drive MORE Palantir adoption.

+55

Price Targets

Current
$129
Bear PT
$60
Consensus
$190
Bull PT
$260

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHFeb 3Q4 earnings beat — Citi upgraded to Buy $260
HIGHMay 2026Q1 2026 earnings — AIP commercial growth trajectory

Competitive Landscape

SNOW ↗Snowflake

Data analytics but less AI deployment focus

Company Background

Founded 2003 by Peter Thiel. Built intelligence software for CIA/military. Pivoted to commercial enterprise AI with AIP platform driving explosive growth.