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RGTIYahoo Finance ↗Rigetti ComputingQuantum
~$15PE: N/AMCap: $5B-74% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026
42
COMPOSITE
+267%
BULL UPSIDE
100
ENTRY QUALITY
35%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For RGTI: (5 × 85% + 5 × 60% + 90 × 35% + 5 × 55% + -20 × 0% + 0 × 0% + 10 × 0%) × 100/100 = 42. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For RGTI: ($55 − $15) / $15 = +267%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-74%), upside to bull PT (+267%), forward PE (N/A vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 100. Excellent entry — significantly below ATH with strong upside.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Lower conviction — speculative or thesis depends on uncertain catalysts.
$7~$15$58$55
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Down 23% YTD after roadmap reset and soft results, but analyst upgrades tell a different story — B. Riley upgraded to Buy, Wedbush raised PT to $40, Rosenblatt Buy $40. Government contracts (C-DAC, Air Force) provide real revenue anchors. $600M cash with zero debt gives extended runway. Bold 2026-2027 roadmap keeps institutional interest.

⚠️ Key Risk

Down 23% YTD — momentum is negative. 308x P/S extreme valuation. Revenue <$20M with -520% operating margin. Roadmap reset signals execution challenges. Next-gen system delayed. "Quantum Hype vs Profits" narrative could crush pure-plays.

By The Numbers

Price
$15
ATH
$58
52W Low
$7
Fwd PE
N/A
Market Cap
$5B
Revenue
$18M
Rev Growth
+42% YoY
Gross Margin
38.5%
Op Margin
-520%
FCF
-$95M
Cash
$600M
Debt
Zero debt

Event Impact

Price Targets

Current
$15
Bear PT
$5
Consensus
$39
Bull PT
$55

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGHJan 21-22B. Riley upgraded to Buy, Wedbush raised PT to $40
HIGHMar 5Q4 earnings — contract wins + roadmap update

Competitive Landscape

Trapped-ion approach; better fidelity but different tech

Company Background

Founded 2013 by Chad Rigetti (ex-IBM). Builds superconducting quantum processors. Public via SPAC 2022.