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SMRYahoo Finance ↗NuScale PowerNuclear
~$14PE: N/AMCap: $4B-75% from ATH
Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 12, 2026
9
COMPOSITE
+150%
BULL UPSIDE
53
ENTRY QUALITY
30%
CONFIDENCE
ℹ️ How are these calculated?
COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For SMR: (10 × 85% + 10 × 60% + 0 × 35% + 5 × 55% + -20 × 0% + 70 × 0% + 25 × 0%) × 53/100 = 9. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.
BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For SMR: ($35 − $14) / $14 = +150%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.
ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-75%), upside to bull PT (+150%), forward PE (N/A vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 53. Fair entry — modest discount or near-term headwinds.
CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Lower conviction — speculative or thesis depends on uncertain catalysts.
$11~$14$57$35
52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

NuScale has the only NRC-approved SMR design in the US — a massive regulatory moat. At $14, down 75% from ATH ($57) after the Idaho UAMPS project cancellation shook confidence. But the Romania CFPP contract is real, and the nuclear renaissance narrative supports SMR deployment. At $4B mcap, this is a high-risk/high-reward bet on SMR commercialization. Fell 10% today — volatility is extreme.

⚠️ Key Risk

PRE-REVENUE. Negative PE, burning cash. Idaho UAMPS project cancelled in late 2023 — execution credibility damaged. Stock fell 10% today. At $4B mcap, a micro-cap with extreme volatility. SMR commercialization timeline is years away. Competition from Oklo, X-energy, Kairos. If nuclear renaissance narrative fades, stock could revisit $11 low.

By The Numbers

Price
$14
ATH
$57
52W Low
$11
Fwd PE
N/A
Market Cap
$4B
Revenue
$5M
Rev Growth
Pre-revenue
Gross Margin
N/A
Op Margin
N/A
FCF
-$150M
Cash
$200M
Debt
$100M

Event Impact

Price Targets

Current
$14
Bear PT
$8
Consensus
$34
Bull PT
$35

Upcoming Catalysts

HIGH2026-2027Romania CFPP SMR project construction progress
MEDIUM2026Additional customer announcements — DOE loan commitments

Competitive Landscape

Advanced fission, Sam Altman backed, different technology

Kairos Power

Molten salt reactor, Google PPA

Company Background

Founded 2007 at Oregon State University. First SMR to receive NRC design certification (2023). The UAMPS cancellation was a setback, but the technology validation stands. Sam Altman and Bill Gates have both invested in competing nuclear startups.