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SNDKYahoo Finance ↗USER ADDEDSanDisk CorporationNAND Flash Storage

~$630PE: 8xMCap: $93B-13% from ATH

Market data via Yahoo Finance as of Feb 12, 2026· Analysis as of Feb 11, 2026

COMPOSITE

+59%

BULL UPSIDE

ENTRY QUALITY

55%

CONFIDENCE

ℹ️ How are these calculated?

COMPOSITE = Σ(event relevance × event probability) × entry quality / 100. Combines how much this stock benefits from macro events with how good the entry point is right now. For SNDK: (55 × 85% + 0 × 60% + 0 × 35% + -10 × 55% + 5 × 0% + 0 × 0% + 0 × 0%) × 65/100 = 27. Higher is better. Range: typically 0–100.

BULL UPSIDE = (bull price target − current price) / current price. For SNDK: ($1000 − $630) / $630 = +59%. This is the maximum upside if the most optimistic analyst thesis plays out.

ENTRY QUALITY (0–100) = how attractive the current price is as a buy point. Based on: % below all-time high (-13%), upside to bull PT (+59%), forward PE (8x vs sector), and analyst conviction. Score: 65. Good entry — reasonable discount with solid upside.

CONFIDENCE = our overall conviction in the thesis (0–100%). Factors: strength of catalysts, analyst coverage quality, thesis durability, risk/reward skew.Moderate conviction — thesis is solid but risks are material.

$28~$630$725$1000

52W LowATHBull PT

🎯 Investment Thesis

Analysts are pounding the table on SNDK — massive PT raises across the board: Citi $750, Barclays $750, Goldman $700, Jefferies $700 (all from $320-$600 range). At 8x forward PE, this is by far the cheapest stock in our universe. Down 18% from ATH ($725) creates entry opportunity. AI training datasets need massive NAND storage — every petabyte of training data is a SanDisk tailwind.

⚠️ Key Risk

NAND flash is a commodity with brutal pricing cycles — current boom could peak. Samsung and SK Hynix are larger competitors with more scale. RBC Sector Perform (dropped PT) is the bear case. Just spun off — standalone execution still unproven. Barclays Equal-Weight at $750 means they see upside but with limited conviction.

By The Numbers

Price

$630

ATH

$725

52W Low

$28

Fwd PE

Market Cap

$93B

Revenue

$6.5B

Rev Growth

+20% YoY

Gross Margin

35%

Op Margin

18%

FCF

$1.2B

Cash

$1.5B

Debt

$3B

Event Impact

🤖

AI Infrastructure Boom

NAND flash storage for AI data pipelines and inference. Analysts "pound the table" — AI memory demand thesis strengthening.

+55 ⚔️

Iran Geopolitical Crisis

No defense or energy exposure.

0 ⚛️

Quantum Computing Breakout

No quantum relevance.

0 🇨🇳

China Trade War Escalation

Some Asia supply chain exposure.

-10 💵

USD & Fed Policy

At 8x PE, very rate-insensitive. NAND pricing is cyclical and commodity-driven, not rate-driven. Some international revenue benefits from weaker dollar.

+5 ⚡

Energy Grid Supercycle

No energy grid relevance.

0 🏛️

US Fiscal & DOGE

No significant fiscal exposure.